FanBoardHQ

Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic University · 2024 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#124
Efficiency
-17.0
123rd FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
T-13th
of 14
Florida Atlantic Fanboard →

Florida Atlantic went 3-9 and was ranked 124th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 113th-ranked defense carried them, with a 123rd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 60th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 122nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-3
Q4
3-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
126th
-7.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
125th
full season
125th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
108th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Michigan StateBig Ten#73L 1016-16.90%-6.0Q3
2vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#28L 724-26.20%-10.5Q2
3vs FIUConference USA#115W 3820-2.6100%4.5Q4
4@ UConnFBS Independents#57L 1448-18.60%-40.0Q3
5vs WagnerNECW 4110+23.1100%-15.2Q4
7vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#92L 3741-8.00%-12.7Q4
8@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#81L 2438-14.90%-13.5Q3
10vs South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82L 2144-7.20%-30.2Q4
11@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#78L 1449-11.50%-40.3Q4
12@ TempleAmerican Athletic#123L 1518-0.20%-18.8Q4
13vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#104L 2739+1.80%-31.0Q4
14@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#131W 6316+11.7100%9.8Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Florida Atlantic, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.3-15.3+5.8-6-104-40-15-13-13-30-40-19-3110Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 122nd
SR 114thYPP 111thEPA 121st
RushingEff 60th
SR 114thYPP 30thEPA 49th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 110th
SR 91stYPP 123rdEPA 107th
Rush defenseEff 101st
SR 97thYPP 112thEPA 98th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo +0.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 96th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 38%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 48.0Q1 · Allowed: 75.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 120.0Q2 · Allowed: 89.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 76.0Q3 · Allowed: 88.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 52.0Q4 · Allowed: 103.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFlorida AtlanticOffenseDefense
Florida Atlantic Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 123rd
-9.5
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -8.0
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -8.0= -9.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 116th · Finishing 120th

Defensive EffRanked 113th
-7.2
Field position: -0.0Finishing drives: -7.2
Field position -0.0Finishing drives -7.2= -7.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 70th · Finishing 114th

2.15 points per drive on offense, 2.39 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(182)46% / 54%34%5.6
Q2(223)49% / 51%46%7.4
Q3(178)47% / 53%42%7.2
Q4(207)48% / 52%40%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(138)9.943%7.5
2nd(125)8.443%5.9
3rd(95)7.932%5.4
4th(18)5.039%5.5
All (376)40%6.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(203)9.737%5.6
2nd(134)7.745%6.2
3rd(59)6.142%7.7
4th(18)2.556%6.8
All (414)41%6.1

Florida Atlantic, all games.